These days I carefully monitor the economic situation in America. If America evolves into a recession, Japan can't escape unharmed. If America only slow down slightly from last year, it is no problem. However, current situation in America is good predictor of a recession. Measures by FRB and President Bush are the key, I think. In Japan, it is said if FRB cuts in interest rates drastically and government goes all out, it take on the features of a bubble. However, I guess we need a fairy story to cause bubble, like IT-bubble(IT revolution-induced boom). I can't find it now.
American economic clout accounts for 25% of the world total now. It was 33% in 2001. Japan's one is less than 10% now. We are degrading. Already trades between emerging countries are on the move. It is a age of Multi-polar-world and Multi-coupling-world, I think. when I come to think about it, I live in an interesting age no one has experienced. Although recession in America deliver a damaging blow, basic direction is multipolarity. China, India, Islam, U.S.A, EU, Brazil, Russia and Japan.
I heard a worrisome tip. Taiwan wants to become a part of China? I loved to read a book written by 李登輝 (Lee Teng-hui.) who graduated Kyoto-University in 京都(Kyoto). Thanks to his book, I learned to be more patient when I was 24 years old. I sting the tears when I recall about the book. Personally I hope Taiwan attains independence because Taiwan became democratic and because I heard main land China hasn't governed Taiwan practically. It was not so much rip-off as governing. I'm not sure though. To establish an economic and democratic union with Japan and South Korea is the best way if we can, just I guess.
Oh, Well, I have to sleep.
Good night.
It is a photo of Hase-dera in Nara.
Have a nice sunday.
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